The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) is forecasting there to be a total of 25 cold fronts to affect Mexico by the end of December 2015. This forecast was issued on October 11, 2015. Frentes Frios (Norte) #8 just grazed the Yucatan Peninsula in the past day (the first one to get near the Riviera Maya for the season).
Frentes Frios #9 and #10 are just now starting to affect Mexico. It is expected that there will be 8 Nortes in November and 9 Nortes in December. Since Frentes Frios #10 is already affecting Mexico, it seems we are ahead of pace and with 17 expected in November and December, the total may really be above 25 by the end of the year.
Frentes Frios #9 and #10 are just now starting to affect Mexico. It is expected that there will be 8 Nortes in November and 9 Nortes in December. Since Frentes Frios #10 is already affecting Mexico, it seems we are ahead of pace and with 17 expected in November and December, the total may really be above 25 by the end of the year.
Here is a video from SMN (in Spanish) discussing the forecast.
Just remember, that these are totals for Mexico...not all the Frentes Frios affect the Riviera Maya.
The current notices for Nortes are available from SMN.
An updated forecast to cover January to May, 2016 should be available by the end of November from SMN.
The current notices for Nortes are available from SMN.
An updated forecast to cover January to May, 2016 should be available by the end of November from SMN.
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