Norte Forecast for Rest of Winter Season (and rainfall for December and January)

The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) has issued it's forecast for expected Frentes Frios (cold fronts) for the rest of the winter season. The total number of expected cold fronts (nortes) for the entire season (September 2015 through May 2016) is 60. This is above the average number in 2012-2014, which is 51. For the main, and coldest, part of the season (November through February), 33 nortes are forecast (28 is average).  There have been 15 nortes so far this season. The first one to really affect the Riviera Maya just past a few days ago.

You can get the latest nortes advisories from SMN.


SMN is also projecting that rainfall will be above normal in the Yucatan Peninsula for the remainder of 2015 and until March 2016. Rainfall for December 2015 is expected to be just a little above normal for the Riviera Maya.

Rainfall for January 2015 is expected to be more than 50% above normal for the Riviera Maya.  Since this is dry season, the 2-4 inches expected is above the normal (which is about 2 inches).